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2021-07-25 DISH

DISH $41.68

This trade idea came to me by reviewing IBD Weekly VOL. 38 NO. 16 Week of July 26, 2021. I’ve tried modifying my stock screening and this is a test. Starting with an up and coming group

Monday Order
Buy to Open 3 DISH Aug 20 2021 41.5 Call Limit 2.05 = $615 total risk.
EPS Announcement trade.
If this hits +50% then I should get my money back and the rest is a free ride. I have 3x leverage on a slightly In-The-Money option

Focusing on the Groups that are in Top 40 Groups with Blue color. The idea is to catch a group that is accelerating
#26 Telecom
This week rank: 25
3 week rank: 82
6 week rank: 108

So this sector came to my attention. Going to the group in paper and copied the entire group. I focused on $20-$50 range

This is an earnings play with EPS Announcement coming due 08/07/21. This is 10 trading days out and at the shortest time frame I like to purchase

Looking at Aug 26 Days till Expiration. Monthly’s instead of the weekly’s, because there is more volume. ITM because it’s the closest strike price

DISH Aug 20 21
Strike Bid/Ask Vol Op Int
41.5 Call 2.03/2.09 0 73
42.0 Call 1.78/1.85 0 181

IBD Ratings for DISH
ChecklistRating
Composite Rating: 94
EPS Rating: 81
RS Rating: 74
Group RS Rating: A
SMR Rating: A
Acc/Dis Rating: B

IBD Market: Confirmed Uptrend

P/E Ratio: 10.75x
No dividend

5yr Monthly from Bigcharts – Above 10 Month SMA. Forming a consolidation period after a Cup and Handle break out

DISH 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2021-07-23

2yr Weekly from Bigcharts – Closed out the week at the 50 Week SMA

3mo Daily from Bigcharts – Above 20 EMA Bullish, Bollinger Bands contracting

DISH 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2021-07-23

3mo Daily from StockCharts – My Standard Setup
RSI is midway 52.68
PSAR is below Bullish at 38.85. This is a floor the stop
10 Day EMA Above 41.04
50 Day EMA Above 41.32
MACD is trying to cross the zero line, but negative -.210. A strong trend is +/- 1
MACDH is already positive +.210.
Slow Stochastics is showing a positive trend 78.61

DISH 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2021-07-23

Jul 12th – 6 days of trading of complete selling. Then a large white candle on strong volume. 2 more days positive and Friday selling on light volume

Perfect Storm Trading additional screening

Featured

Pfizer Inc – PFE

Note: This is a trade idea. Please do you own due diligence

Investors Overview

This trade idea came to me by reviewing Investors Business Daily IBD Weekly Vol 37 NO 20 Feature article. The article covers Covid vaccines and Pfizer is currently in Phase 3. They are expecting to have a vaccine in October

I see this as a 5 month Cup and Handle formation and I liked the chart.

When I find something interesting there are a series of charts that I review. Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living. You start with the longest time frame

PFE 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2020-08-21

The longer term view I use is a 5 year monthly chart. I just have a 10 month Simple Moving Average (SMA) for a general trend. Above go Long. Below Short or pass on trade

The stock is currently 38.88 and have an upside target at 20% = 46.66 in new high territory. The stock is fighting a couple year downtrend

Then I review the 2 year weekly with a 50 week Simple Moving Average (SMA). This is roughly 1 year and here again I'm looking for the general trend. Above is good

PFE 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2020-08-21

52 Week Range:
40.97 - 27.88 = 13.09 / 40.97 = 31.9%

This is a shallow Cup at about -30% down and shows institutional support

Then I drill into 2 different 3 month views: Bigcharts and StockCharts

PFE 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2020-08-21

The view is using Bollinger Bands from StockCharts. I like using a 20 day Exponential Moving Average to represent about 1 month of trading for the monthly trend. Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD and Historgram

The idea of the trade plan is an option play past earnings. It's above the 20 Day EMA, Bollinger Bands are contracting, MACD is positive, but the Histogram is negative.

The stock will break out either up our down. I'm thinking that it will be on the upside, because the past few days have had increasing price with increasing volume. The Histogram is trending to the zero line

PFE 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2020-08-21

This view is using Relative Strength Indicator RSI which is mid range with a slight up tic, Parabolic Stop And Reverse PSAR that I use to gauge if the short term trend is either positive or negative. This indicator can have many whipsaws, but I just use it as a general indicator

There is a MACD with slightly different parameters than BigCharts. Slow Stochastic is at the bottom

I placed an order: Buy to Open 2 PFE Nov 20 2020 39.0 Call Limit 2.20

Stop Loss -8% at $35.77

Upside Target +20% at $46.66
This will hit some resistance around $45 as it approaches the previous
range. That would be about a 10% gain, but I suspect that it would go
higher because of the recent trading.

IBD Rankings 08/21/19

Composite Rating: 78
EPS Rating: 73 - Little low
RS Rating: 76 - Little low
Group RS Rating: C+
SMR Rating: B
Acc/Dis Rating: A-
ROE: 26.4%
Debt: 56%
Outstanding Shares: 5556.9m
Float: 5501.3
EPS Due Date: 10/29/20. My trade is taking advantage of this event

From TD Ameritrade Quote Summary 08/19/20
P/E Ratio: 15.82x
Ex-dividend date: 07/30/20

Zacks has PFE as Hold - 3. I like to have confirmation from Zacks to confirm IBD

So this is a short term trade that will last approximately one month unless
the market moves against the trade

Until next time,
Bryan

Featured

Stewart Information Svcs – STC 2020-08-19

Note: This is a trade idea. Please do you own due diligence

Company Investors Relations

This trade idea came to me by reviewing Investors Business Daily Stocks on the Move. There is no real market for options and would be a long stock trade

I see this as a 9 month Cup and Handle formation and the recent trading activity sparked my interest.

Then it hit a new high 5 days ago and is currently down. I find the current trading activity interesting.

When I find something interesting there are a series of charts that I review. Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living. You start with the longest time frame

The longer term view I use is a 5 year monthly chart. I just have a 10 month Simple Moving Average (SMA) for a general trend. Above go Long. Below Short or pass on trade

STC 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2020-08-18

I am placing my upside target at 46.83 at the upper range of the long term high. This will hit resistance around $45.

Then I review the 2 year weekly with a 50 week Simple Moving Average (SMA). This is roughly 1 year and here again I'm looking for the general trend. Above is good

STC 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2020-08-18

52 Week Range:
44.86 - 20.26 = 24.6 / 44.86 = 54.8%

This the deepest part of the Cup on the chart Apr 24 - Mar 20. However, most of the market has a similar chart

Normally we are looking for a Cup that is -40% deep

At -50% deep, a very different type of speculator evolves, because they see a decline of -50% and look to double their money and get out, instead of having a long time commitment

A Cup that is only -40% down means that there is institutional support at this level. They have the deep pockets for the research teams and will be buying when the stock dips to this level

Then I drill into 2 different 3 month views: Bigcharts and StockCharts

STC 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2020-08-18

The idea of the trade plan is to take advantage of a temporary oversold situation. The view is using Bollinger Bands from StockCharts. I like using a 20 day Exponential Moving Average to represent about 1 month of trading for the monthly trend. Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD and Historgram

Look at the heavy selling on 08/17, but it held at the 20 Day EMA. The stock seems to be weathering the selling an creating an oversold condition. Notice the last positive day on increasing volume

STC 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2020-08-18

This view is using Relative Strength Indicator RSI which is midrange with a slight up tic, Parabolic Stop And Reverse PSAR that I use to gauge if the short term trend is either positive or negative. This indicator can have many whipsaws, but I just use it as a general indicator

There is a MACD with slightly different parameters than BigCharts. Slow Stochastic is at the bottom

I placed a Limit order for 100 shares at $40.83 - Previous Close. I got filled early in the morning

Cost: $40.83

Stop Loss -8% at $35.94
Looking at the chart I'm setting the stop at 36.11 which is the bottom shadow of the close before the recent gap up on 07/24

Upside Target +20% at $46.83
This will hit some resistance around $45 as it approaches the previous range. That would be about a 10% gain, but I suspect that it would go higher because of the recent trading.

IBD Rankings 08/19/20

Composite Rating: 86
EPS Rating: 93
RS Rating: 76
Group RS Rating: D+
SMR Rating: c
Acc/Dis Rating: B+
ROE: 9.3%
Debt: 14%
Outstanding Shares: 23.7m
Float: 23.0m - Thin
EPS Due Date: 10/22/20. I am not planing on staying for this event, but I could capture the dividend

From TD Ameritrade Quote Summary 08/19/19
P/E Ratio: 9.21
Ex-dividend date: 10/22/20

Zacks has a Strong Buy - 1. I like to have confirmation from Zacks to confirm IBD

So this is a short term trade that will last approximately one month unless the market moves against the trade

Until next time,
Bryan

2020-09-21

I closed out of this position today, because I was up 10% and today it gaped down. I sold about noon ET. I got filled at 40.07 and had a loss of -76.10 or -1.86%

STC 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2020-09-21

Featured

OneMain Holdings Inc – OMF

Yahoo Finance Profile Description
OneMain Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides consumer finance and insurance products and services. The company operates in two segments, Consumer and Insurance, and Acquisitions and Servicing. It provides secured and unsecured personal loans; credit insurance products, such as life, disability, and involuntary unemployment insurance products; non-credit insurance; and auto membership plans, as well as retail sales finance services. The company also services and holds real estate loans secured by first or second mortgages on residential real estate. As of December 31, 2018, it operated through a network of approximately 1,600 branches in 44 states in the United States, as well as through omf.com Website. The company was formerly known as Springleaf Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to OneMain Holdings, Inc. in November 2015. OneMain Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1920 and is based in Evansville, Indiana.

2019-08-20

This trade idea came to my yesterday while reviewing Investor's Business Daily Stocks on the Move and today was a follow through day

I have had some loses this month and has wiped out my gains for the year. So that being said I am hesitant in jumping back in with the current market condition. The overall market has been down for most of the month and I am currently only in Boston Scientific.

This stock has had a buy gap up and in candlestick lingo the window has been closed. It is now finding buyers again

Check out the setup: In The Trading Cockpit with the O'Neil Disciples: Strategies that Made Us 18,000% in the Stock Market

I am placing a market order tomorrow to guarantee fulfillment. The current stock price is $39.02.

2019-08-21
I got filled at $39.43 this morning

Stop Loss -8% at $35.94
This stop is -$3.09 and this is a wider stop than I normally use. The stop is based on the chart where that level is -2% from the consolidation before the gap at $36.67

Upside Target +20% at $46.83
This will hit some resistance at $43 as it approaches the previous high. That would be about a 10% gain, but I suspect that it would go higher because of the recent trading. After it hits 43 I expect a 6 - 8 week pause forming a cup and handle pattern

IBD Rankings 08/20/19
Composite Rating: 90
EPS Rating: 70 - Caution
RS Rating: 91
Group RS Rating: B1
SMR Rating: B
Acc/Dis Rating: B
ROE: 12.6%
Debt: 400% - Heavily Leveraged
Outstanding Shares: 136.1m
Float: 130.6m
EPS Due Date: 10/29/19

From TD Ameritrade Quote Summary 08/20/19
P/E Ratio: 8
Ex-dividend date: 08/26/19

Zack's has this as a Strong Buy: OMF

Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living is why I use the following charts

OMF 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2019-08-20

OMF 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2019-08-20

BSX 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2019-07-07

OMF 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-08-20

2019-10-08

I closed out the position today and I was very wrong. It move against me and put me underwater. I had been on vacation and had not watched as closely as I should have. I did capture the dividend which was a reason to hold on this

I widened my stop a little lower based on the chart. It has broken lower and I threw in the towel

I got filled at $34.24

$39.49 + 2.25 dividend - 34.24 = -$3 / $37.24 = -8%

OMF 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-09-20

2019-10-14

I bought 2 out of the money $36 call options with an expiration of Nov 15, 2019 as an earnings play. They announce October 28, 2019 after the close

I got filled at 1.55 and will be selling at or before the earnings announcement

OMF 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-10-14

2019-10-29

The company reported earnings yesterday and I closed out of my position. I feel that I have regained positive position overall for this company and have captured a large portion of the upside

I got filled at $3.69

$3.69 - $1.55 = $2.14 / $1.55 = +138% in 15 days

OMF 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-10-29

Featured

Boston Scientific Corp – BSX

2019-07-07

This trade idea came to me a while ago. I had bought this and was one day from my 7 Day Time Stop. It was on Day 5 the indicators I use looked like it was going to turn downward. I was already down I sold.

I first traded it on 2019-06-20 I placed the order late in the afternoon. On that trade
My cost basis: $41.86
-5% stop: $39.78
+20% Gain: $50.24

I kept that on my watch list and then I bought back in on 2019-07-01. This is a risky position, because earnings is 2 weeks away

My cost basis: $
-5% Stop: $
+20% Gain: $

IBD Rankings 07/07/19
Composite Rating: 96
EPS Rating: 85
RS Rating: 87
Group RS Rating: A-
SMR Rating: A
Acc/Dis Rating: A+
ROE: 26.2%
Debt: 55%
Outstanding Shares: 1390.7m
Float: 1376.7m
EPS Due Date: 07/24/19

Trading for a Living: Psychology, Trading Tactics, Money Management
Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living is why I use the following charts

BSX 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2019-07-07

BSX 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2019-07-07

BSX 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2019-07-07

BSX 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-07-07

Featured

Sprouts Farmers Market – SFM

2020-06-08

This trade idea came from my weekly review on 06/06. This was on my IBD Total Stock Market Screener. I have this tuned for high financial and lower on the RS. I've also traded this stock before

Sprouts was on Investor's Business Daily Stocks on the Move on 06/02. My IBD Screener on 05/28.The timing seems to be good. I had missed the up move before and it is currently consolidating. SFM is also #17 in the current IBD50

With the current market conditions I am reluctant in owning stocks outright. So, I have been using Call options to limit the overal risk. By buying the Call option I am limiting my loss to the amount that I paid for the option

This trade idea is a stock substitution play with an earnings play as well

IBD Rankings 06/05/20
Composite Rating: 97
EPS Rating: 95
RS Rating: 92
Group RS Rating: B+
SMR Rating: B
Acc/Dis Rating: A-
ROE: 25.6%
Debt: 947%
Outstanding Shares:.117.80
Float: 116.6m
EPS Due Date: 08/01/20
P/E Ratio: 18
Ex-dividend date: No Dividend

Zack’s has this as 2 – Buy: SWCH

2018-02-22

I bought this stock today, because the announced positive earnings and I had been watching this stock since 2018-02-12. This has been featured in Investors Business Daily

The day I bought was very volatile with a 10.5% range on strong volume 178%. I got my order filled at $25.96 and a 7% stop loss is $24.14

Current IBD Ranking
1 rank in group
95 Comp
94 EPS
83 RS
C- group
B SMR
B+ Acc/Dis

3 Month Daily Chart from bigcharts.com

2018-03-08

I had gotten stopped out when it closed at 24.11 and my order was filled at 24.45. I am looking for another opportunity...

2018-10-18

I had kept this on my stock list for a while and then archived it. Then it showed up in the Investor's Business Daily IBD Weekly VOL 35 N.O. 28 Week of October 15, 2018 -IBD50 Ranking #41

Then today I bought a call option that was At The Money (Option Pricing).

I got filled at: $1.93 with the stock at $27.26
0% stop: $0.00
+20% Target: $25.04

IBD Rankings today
Composite Rating: 98
EPS Rating: 85
RS Rating: 92
Group RS Rating: A+
SMR Rating: B
Acc/Dis Rating: A-
ROE: 21.1%
Debt: 73%
Outstanding Shares: 127.1m
EPS Due Date: 11/1/18

Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living is why I use the following charts

SFM 5 Year Monthly from Bigcharts 2018-10-18

SFM 1 Year Daily from Bigcharts 2018-10-18

SFM 3 Month Daily from Bigcharts 2018-10-18

SFM 3 Month Daily from Stockcharts 2018-10-18

2018-11-01

I closed out of the position today, because they had posted earnings an the market reaction was neutral. I lost about $100 and I'm about done just buying options altogether

I got filled at .80 So I lost $113

SFM 3 Month Daily from Stockcharts 2018-11-01

SFM-5-Year-Monthly-from-BigCharts-2020-06-05-1

SFM 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2020-06-05

SFM-3-Month-Daily-from-BigCharts-2020-06-05

SFM 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2020-06-05

Taiwan Semiconductor Adr – TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor About Us

2020-06-01

This trade idea from my IBD Stock Screener in my review last night and I decided to pull the trigger

This first came on my radar when it was featured as #28 in IBD50 on Vol37 No 6 Week of May 08. 2020. Then TSM was featured on IBD Stocks on the Move on the 05/13 and 05/14. Currently it is #31 in IBD50 Vol 37 No 8. I am an Investor’s Business Daily guy and highly recommend all of their efforts

During my weekly review I had liked the charts and I decided on buying an In-The-Money Call Option just past earnings. If earnings get adjusted back this position is screwed\

I placed a Buy to Open Limit Order with the price split between the previous Bid/Ask spread. However it opened higher and did not get filled. I was nervous after lunch that I wouldn’t get filled

I cancelled the order and set the price .30 higher splitting the current Bid/Ask spread. I got filled at $2.80 with 2 contracts

IBD Rankings 06/01/20
Composite Rating: 95
EPS Rating: 89
RS Rating: 79
Group RS Rating: B+
SMR Rating: A
Acc/Dis Rating: D+
ROE: 20.9%
Debt: 2%
Outstanding Shares: 5186.1m
EPS Due Date: 07/16/20

From TD Ameritrade Quote Summary 06/01/20
P/E Ratio: 19.50
Ex-dividend date: 06/18/20

Zack’s has this as 1 – Strong Buy: TSM

Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living is why I use the following charts

TSM 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2020-63-01

TSM 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2020-06-01

TSM 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2020-06-01

TSM 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2020-06-01

Let me know what you think…

Switch Inc Cl A – SWCH

Switch About Us

2020-05-12

This trade idea came to me when I was reviewing my watch list. It was featured in Investors Business Daily: New America Vol 37 No 3 Week of April 28, 2020. I liked the chart and waited for a pull back to enter the position

I went with Call options to limit my losses. The Jun 19, 2020 Call option has 38 days to expiration and is lottery ticket. They are heavly leveraged and have a high P/E Ratio

I got filled this morning:
Buy to Open 2 SWCH Jun 19 2020 19.0 Call Limit 0.55

IBD Rankings 05/12/20
Composite Rating: 85
EPS Rating: 10
RS Rating: 94
Group RS Rating: A
SMR Rating: C
Acc/Dis Rating: A-
ROE: 5.1%
Debt: 387% – Heavly Leveraged
Outstanding Shares: 103.0m
Float: 75.2m
EPS Due Date: 08/07/20

From TD Ameritrade Quote Summary 05/12/20
P/E Ratio: 223.25x – Price is way out of line with actual earnings
Ex-dividend date: 05/21/20

Zack’s has this as 2 – Buy: SWCH

Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living is why I use the following charts

SWCH 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2020-05-12

SWCH 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2020-05-12

SWCH 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2020-05-12

SWCH 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2020-05-12

Silicon Motion Tech Ads – SIMO

Company Overview – About US

2020-05-08

This trade idea came from Investor’s Business Daily where is was featured in their IBD 50 over the past few weeks. It was #36 in IBD Weekly Vol 37 No 2, #34 in IBD Weekly Vol 37 No 2, and #29 in IBD Weekly Vol 37 No 2

My weekly review of charts SIMO caught my attention. It was in a tightening range and looking for it to break out. I decided to purchase Call options, because I wanted to limit the amount I could lose

I bought this after lunch: SIMO Jun 19 2020 45 Call @1.55. The stock price around $43.50 at the time. This a stock substitution type of a play, because the earnings announcement is after expiration

IBD Rankings 05/08/20
Composite Rating: 90
EPS Rating: 86
RS Rating: 84
Group RS Rating: C+
SMR Rating: A
Acc/Dis Rating: C+
ROE: 17.2%
Debt: 0%
Outstanding Shares: 35.1m
Float: 32.0m
EPS Due Date: 07/30/20

From TD Ameritrade Quote Summary 05/08/20
P/E Ratio: 18.73
Ex-dividend date: 05/06/20

Zack’s has this as 2 – Buy: SIMO

Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living is why I use the following charts

SIMO 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2020-05-08

This is above 10 Month SMA, but has been basically flat for 5 years

SIMO 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2020-05-08

SIMO 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2020-05-08

The Bollinger Band is squeezing tight and I’m thinking that it is going to break higher

SIMO 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2020-05-08

If the stock drops to $40 a share I will sell to close to preserve capital. On the upside I will be selling at $60. The break even for the trade is at &46.56. I do not want to own the stock and will close this out before expiration

2020-06-16

I closed out my position this afternoon, because it is close to expiration and I do not want to own the stock. I believe that the stock is not going to reach the $50/sh before earnings

The stock has been consolitating and I don’t have time left on the contract. This company will be on my watch list and may purchase again to capture earnings. I got filled at .95. That was a -67% loss and limited my loss at -$123.66. Lesson learned.

I had thought about selling after the pop, but waited. I was greedy and I should have closed out half the position then. I would have been playing with the house’s money

This is Stockcharts 3 month chart

SIMO 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2020-06-16

Impinj Inc – PI

Inpinj.com About Us

Item Intelligence for the Internet of Things

If you’ve purchased apparel from a major retailer like Macy’s or Zara, run a race like the New York City Marathon, enjoyed a drink from a Coca-Cola Freestyle soda fountain, or checked bags at airports worldwide like Las Vegas McCarran then you’ve probably interacted with Impinj. Our platform enables wireless connectivity to billions of everyday items such as apparel, race bibs, golf balls, and luggage and delivers each item’s unique identity, location, and authenticity to business and consumer applications.

Impinj (NASDAQ: PI) is a leading provider of RAIN RFID solutions. Our platform, comprising both hardware and software, uses RAIN RFID to wirelessly connect everyday items to the internet, delivering digital life to the physical world. Impinj is helping companies around the world increase sales, improve efficiencies, and deliver compelling experiences.

2019-11-10

This trade idea came to me from my weekend stocks review. This was featured in Investor's Business Daily's Stocks on the Move on Tuesday 11/05. I had liked the long term chart and I bought the following day

I bought 100 shares and got filled at $34.69

Stop Loss -5% at $32.96
Upside Target +15% at $32.96

IBD Rankings 11/08/19
Composite Rating: 91
EPS Rating: 76
RS Rating: 96
Group RS Rating: A+
SMR Rating: D Warning
Acc/Dis Rating: C - I'm early
ROE: 0%
Debt: 18%
Outstanding Shares: 22.1m
Float: 15.9m
Management owns 21.15%
EPS Due Date: 01/24/20

From TD Ameritrade Quote Summary 11/04/19
P/E Ratio: --- Warning
Ex-dividend date: 02/20/20

Zack's has this as a Buy: PI

Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living is why I use the following charts

PI 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2019-11-05

PI 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2019-11-05

PI 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2019-11-05

PI 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-11-05

2019-11-18

I closed out my position this morning, because the momentum reversed and I got out with a small loss. I feel the timing was too early and this will still be on my watch list. I got filled at $33.79

$34.69 - $34.79 = -$.90 / $34.69 = -2.5%

PI 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-11-18

Hilltop Hldgs Inc – HTH

Hilltop-Holdings.com

About Us

With $14.8 billion in assets as of September 30, 2019, Hilltop Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HTH) is a Texas-based diversified financial holding company specializing in banking, mortgage origination, financial advisory and insurance through its wholly owned subsidiaries, PlainsCapital Bank, PrimeLending, National Lloyds Corporation, and HilltopSecurities.

2019-11-04

This trade idea came to me from my weekend stocks review. This was featured in Investor's Business Daily's Stocks on the Move on Friday's issue. They had recently posted earnings and was starting to break out of a tight consolidation base

This stock has had a buy gap up and the momentum was starting to accelerate

Check out the setup: In The Trading Cockpit with the O'Neil Disciples: Strategies that Made Us 18,000% in the Stock Market

I bought 200 shares this afternoon and I got filled at $25.24

Stop Loss -5%
I am having a little tighter stop on this trade and it will place it just above the 50 day EMZ

Upside Target +15%
This will provide a 3:1 risk reward ratio. Depending on the speed that it reaches this target I can sell half the position to hold the rest for a longer term gain

IBD Rankings 11/04/19
Composite Rating: 93
EPS Rating: 85
RS Rating: 90
Group RS Rating: C+
SMR Rating: C
Acc/Dis Rating: B+
ROE: 6.3%
Debt: 3%
Outstanding Shares: 92.8m
Float: 72.4m
Management owns 21.15%
EPS Due Date: 01/24/20

From TD Ameritrade Quote Summary 11/04/19
P/E Ratio: 11.3
Ex-dividend date: 11/14/19

Zack's has this as a Strong Buy: HTH

Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living is why I use the following charts

HTH 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2019-11-04

HTH 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2019-11-04

HTH 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2019-11-04

HTH 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-11-04

2019-11-21

I closed out of the position today, because it moved against me and hit my stop. I got filled at $23.39

$25.24 - $23.39 = -$1.85 / $25.24 = -7.3%

HTH 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-11-21

Vectrus Inc – VEC

Vectus Inc

From the Who We Are page

With more than 70 years experience, Vectrus has operated globally in a wide range of conditions from modern technologically advanced areas to austere contingency-based locations. Geographic areas of operation currently include: the Middle East (Kuwait, Qatar, and Bahrain), Central Asia (Afghanistan), Asia (Japan and Korea), Europe (Germany, the United Kingdom, Turkey, Italy and Romania), and the United States.

2019-10-17

This trade idea came to me from a friend of mine at the local IBD Meetup. This company was on open round of companies to review. I liked the chart and the way it was trading in the past few weeks

There are some warning flags like earning are not at the IBD standard. The EPS earnings are coming soon

I got filled at $43.09
50 day EMA stop at $41.29
+20% target at $51.71

The current IBD Rankings 2019-10-17

Composite Rating: 77
EPS Rating: 41
RS Rating: 95
Group RS Rating: A-
SMR Rating: C
Acc/Dis Rating: B
ROE: 17.2%
Debt: 31%
Outstanding Shares: 11.5m
Float: 11.2m
EPS Due Date: 11/06/19
PE Ratio 14
Ex-dividend date: None
EPS % Chg (Last Qtr)% -12

Zack's has this as a Hold: VEC

Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living is why I use the following charts

VEC 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2019-10-17

VLC 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2019-10-17

VEC 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2019-10-17

VEC 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-10-17

2019-10-28

I closed out of my position today and got filled at 46.11. This had been going up on light volume and it is extended past the 10 day EMA. The earnings are coming up on 11/06 and I did not want to hold during the earnings announcement

$46.11 - $43.09 = $3.02 / 43.09 = 6.5% in 8 trading days

VEC 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-10-28

United States Natural Gas Fund – UNG

UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

Fund Details

The United States Natural Gas Fund^® LP (UNG) is an exchange-traded security that is designed to track in percentage terms the movements of natural gas prices. UNG issues shares that may be purchased and sold on the NYSE Arca.

The investment objective of UNG is for the daily changes in percentage terms of its shares' net NAV to reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of the price of natural gas delivered at the Henry Hub, Louisiana, as measured by the daily changes in the Benchmark Futures Contract, less UNG's expenses.

The Benchmark is the futures contract on natural gas as traded on the NYMEX. If the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration, the Benchmark will be the next month contract to expire. The natural gas contract is natural gas delivered at the Henry Hub, Louisiana.

UNG invests primarily in listed natural gas futures contracts and other natural gas related futures contracts, and may invest in forwards and swap contracts. These investments will be collateralized by cash, cash equivalents, and US government obligations with remaining maturities of two years or less.

UNG's Fund Benefits

UNG offers commodity exposure without using a commodity futures account.
UNG provides features including, intra-day pricing, and market, limit, and stop orders.
UNG provides portfolio holdings, market price, NAV and TNA on its website each day.

2019-10-08

This trade idea came to me by the book
Set up Buy the Feer and Sell the Greed
Buy 4 Day RSI oversold below 20 - was at 4.95 on 09/30
Sell 4 Day RSI reaches 50

The is an ETF that tracks natural gas. Liquefied Natural Gas was a hot topic by a couple of the keynote speakers at the Chicago Trade Expo this year. I had held off on purchasing and saw the value drop almost 30% from the May.

Then I saw it pop and have a significant move. I missed the move up and put it back on a watch list. I was looking for a good entry point. It started to drop and I was looking for a rounding out on light volume

That didn't happen and the selling started getting stronger. Then it gaped down and I decided on using a call option to limit the downside. I went will a slightly out of the money call option at $20 and went 46 days out to give me some time

UNG Nov 15 2019 20.0 Call
2019-10-01 Buy to Open $20 Calls Exp 11/15/19 2 contracts Filled at $1.16

The current price $19.65
Target $21.29 at 50 day EMA

Dr Alexander has a triple screen for viewing charts and Trading for a Living is why I use the following charts

UNG 5 Year Monthly from BigCharts 2019-10-08

UNG 2 Year Weekly from BigCharts 2019-10-08

UNG 3 Month Daily from BigCharts 2019-10-08

UNG 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 2019-10-08

UNG 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 4 Day RSI 2019-10-08

2019-10-24

I closed out this position today, because I felt that it will not be a positive by the time the option expires. This position was positive for a day and basically covered the round trip costs. I think the biggest issue with the trade was the fact that it was below the long term average didn't allow it to lift off of the fear point

I will be adding a filter that a stock will need to be above a 200 day SMA

I got filled at $.63 and I'm glad I only had a Call option to limit my losses

$1.55 - $.63 = -.92 / 1.55 = -59%

UNG 3 Month Daily from StockCharts 4 Day RSI 2019-10-24